DMart Shares Drop 9% Following Downgrades on Disappointing Q2 Results

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Three points you will get to know in this article:

  • DMart shares fell 9.3% after disappointing Q2 earnings and downgrades.
  • Increased competition from online grocery platforms impacts DMart’s growth.
  • Analysts suggest monitoring DMart’s strategic response to competition

DMart Shares Fall 9% After Q2 Earnings Downgrades

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DMart’s parent company, Avenue Supermarts, witnessed a sharp 9.3% decline in its share price during early trade on Monday. The stock fell to a low of Rs 4,143.60 on the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) after multiple brokerage firms downgraded the stock due to underwhelming second-quarter (Q2) earnings. Target prices for the stock were slashed, with analysts raising concerns over increased costs, slow store growth, and growing competition from online grocery platforms.

DMart’s Q2 Performance: Profits Fall Short

Despite an 8% year-on-year (YoY) rise in profits, the company reported a 12% quarter-over-quarter decline in profit after tax (PAT). This unexpected drop in profitability led to a wave of downgrades from brokerage firms, reflecting investor disappointment. DMart’s total revenue for Q2 stood at Rs 14,050.32 crore, marking a 14% increase from Rs 12,307.72 crore in the same quarter last year. However, these results did not meet the market’s optimistic expectations.

Competition from Online Grocery Platforms Hurts Growth

One of the key reasons for DMart’s lackluster performance is the increasing competition from “quick commerce” platforms that offer fast delivery services, particularly in metropolitan areas. These online grocery players are rapidly gaining market share, challenging DMart’s dominance.

Brokerages Downgrade DMart: Ratings and Price Targets

Here’s how some major brokerage firms reacted to DMart’s Q2 performance:

Morgan Stanley: Underweight | Target Price: Rs 3,702

Morgan Stanley downgraded DMart from Overweight to Underweight, lowering its target price from Rs 5,769 to Rs 3,702. Analysts cited weak profit margins and the rising threat from online grocery competitors, expressing concerns over DMart’s ability to sustain its 20% growth target.

Nuvama: Hold | Target Price: Rs 5,040

Nuvama maintained a Hold rating but trimmed its target price from Rs 5,183 to Rs 5,040. The firm noted that existing store sales grew by only 5.5% compared to 9.1% in the previous quarter. Slower growth in DMart Ready, the company’s online grocery service, further dampened investor sentiment.

Prabhudas Lilladher: Hold | Target Price: Rs 4,748

Prabhudas Lilladher downgraded the stock from Accumulate to Hold, revising the target price from Rs 5,168 to Rs 4,748. Analysts highlighted that increased competition in metro cities is affecting sales growth, while the addition of six new stores has increased costs.

JPMorgan: Neutral | Target Price: Rs 4,700

JPMorgan shifted its rating from Overweight to Neutral, lowering the target price from Rs 5,400 to Rs 4,700. They emphasized the impact of rising operational costs and stiff competition from online platforms, which has hurt DMart’s store performance and profit margins.

What This Means for Retail Investors

While DMart continues to expand, its Q2 performance failed to meet expectations, prompting concerns about the company’s future growth prospects. For now, analysts advise investors to monitor the company’s response to competition from fast-delivery grocery platforms and how it manages costs in the upcoming quarters.

At 10:55 AM on Monday, DMart shares were trading 7.86% lower on the BSE at Rs 4,212.90.

The recent downgrades and falling share prices reflect investor worries about DMart’s ability to navigate a competitive landscape and rising expenses. Potential investors should keep an eye on DMart’s strategic moves in the coming months before making significant investment decisions. Managing costs efficiently and competing effectively with online platforms will be crucial to DMart’s long-term success.

Manvendra Hada

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